Big names to go would include Joanna Cherry and Mhairi Black. Trump. Labour opens up historic poll lead over Tories after days of market Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. Something went wrong, please try again later. Although it is only a relatively small Scottish sample (148 people out of 1702 polled in total across the UK), the results would see 23 Nats lose their seats to leave them with 25 MPs. However in the aftermath of fresh partygate allegations in January 2022, followed by the publication of the Gray report in February 2022, the Conservatives dropped to their lowest polling position for over a quarter of a century, falling to a point last seen during the midst of the Major government back in the 1990s. In terms of specific adjustments then made to this analysis, Politics.co.uk has assumed that the Green MP Caroline Lucas would continue to hold her safe seat in Brighton Pavilion, and that Sir Lindsay Hoyle would be returned as Speaker for his constituency of Chorley. NewsNow: YouGov news | Breaking News & Search 24/7 It remains to be seen how support for independence will pan out now Rishi Sunak has become prime minister, King Charles III has succeeded Elizabeth II, and as Nicola Sturgeon steps down as first minister. Poll Analysis: YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 - Ballot Box Scotland Get the latest news from the Express straight to your inbox. Subscribe to our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. "Yes to an independent Scotland", "No to an independent Scotland", "I will not vote" and "I am not registered to vote" were the options given. Scottish independence: yes campaign gets poll boost Meanwhile, the latest opinion polls suggest it will be a knife-edge after a recent drop in SNP's approval rating and a small rise in Labour and Conservatives. It is vital that free media is allowed to exist to expose hypocrisy, corruption, wrongdoing and abuse of power. Prince Harry's U.K. Popularity Down 35 Points Since Meghan WeddingPolling Reform UK are also polling in the region of 6-7%. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Voting Intention. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeon's approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. Sponsors of pro-Obi opinion polls creating grounds for post-election violence. And while 33 per cent said the UK Government was wrong to have blocked the bill, 50 per cent said it was right or within its rights to do so. Last updated Nov 16, 2022 View all Trackers (4) Support for creation of a new English Parliament along the lines of the existing Scottish Parliament politics Surveys Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunaks party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. Don't miss out! Four in ten Scottish voters want Nicola Sturgeon to resign, new poll suggests, Four in 10 Scots think Sturgeon should stand down, poll finds, Nicola Sturgeon opinion poll finds more than three-quarters of Scots think she should go, First Minister of Scotland: Runners and riders. Consumer packaged goods (CPG) Eating & drinking. Scots cop claims World's End serial killer committed 'three more murders in Glasgow ', Retired detective Allan Jones claims Sinclair should have been tried for the murders Anna Kenny, Hilda McAuley and Agnes Cooney, Eddie Howe makes damning Ryan Fraser Newcastle admission as Scotland star's 'commitment' questioned. Under this unlikely but not impossible scenario, the Electoral Calculus seat predictor says Labour would end up with 37 Scottish MPs, the SNP would have 10, the Tories seven and the Lib Dems five. Britain Elects. In doing so the Lib Dems would defeat both the deputy prime minister, Dominic Raab, and the Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt. independence? The TLE shop is also now open, with all profits going to supporting our work. . However as the Scottish parliament became fully operational in Edinburgh, support for independence initially waned, trending around 30% in the first decade of the twentieth century. The result of an IndyRef today 2 March 2023. Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view? Given that the parliamentary results in Wales and Scotland are influenced by the existence of a fourth major party (Plaid and the SNP), Politics.co.uk has undertaken separate analysis for swings in Welsh and Scottish constituencies. tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. Journalism in Britain is under threat. We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Voting Intention. Latest news on Scottish Opinion Polls, including political opinion polls, voting intention polls, and opinion poll analysis. ", Nicola Sturgeon claims no laws were broken during ferry contract scandal, SNP's 'politics of division' does 'not change' people's lives, says Anas Sarwar, The SNP benches will be a LOT quieter in future according to these new polls. The Conservatives continued to record significant poll leads over Labour almost consistently throughout 2020 and 2021, with only a brief interlude in autumn 2020 where this narrowed. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeons approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. @BritainElects. In the case of Wales, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the most recent YouGov poll produced on 27 February. Question asked. On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? We only ask you to donate what you can afford, with an option to cancel your subscription at any point. YouGov poll: The mental health and wellbeing of employees are not supported by legal firms Law News 15:47 3-Feb-23. Worst-case scenario could see 120,000 Covid-19 deaths this winter scientists, Watch: Gary Neville slams PM as he rages over brutal UC cut, French border guards warn this will be what it is like after Brexit. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. Company number: SC669393. While polls should always be treated with caution, Labour supporters have celebrated the latest figures. YouGov, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 27 Nov 2021, Scot Goes Pop, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 31 Oct 2021Report I Data, For Women Scotland, 2023.For Women Scotland is a not-for-profit company limited by guarantee. Ballot Box Scotland - Democracy in Detail Conservative support then fell by a further 6% as the first Downing Street party allegations emerged. You can also SUBSCRIBE TO OUR NEWSLETTER . But we can't do it without you. Indeed Conservative support appeared to have grown slightly after Rishi Sunaks October 2021 budget. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Humza Yousaf blasted as he promises to spend taxpayer cash on more independence prospectuses, The Scottish Government health secretary, and front-runner to replace Nicola Sturgeon as First Minister, used his speech in Arbroath to claim that he was going to 'kickstart the independence campaign', Ange Postecoglou hails Reo Hatate Celtic impact as he makes 'another couple of levels' claim. However support for Scottish independence grew significantly during the 1980s, particularly as Margaret Thatchers tenure in office continued. He is the co-founder of poll aggregator Britain Elects. Scotland should remain part of the UK without an elected parliament. Truss Widens UK Poll Lead as U-Turn on Public-Worker Pay Gives Sunak Hope Please check you have typed it correctly. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. First Minister of Scotland: Runners and Riders. In the case of Northern Ireland, with its own political parties, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the LucidTalk opinion poll of 3 February. In this scenario, how would you vote in a General Election? The poll, commissioned by WalesOnline has found support for the Tories in Wales now sits at just 19%. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. Coming into the autumn, the Conservatives appeared to have suffered no adverse polling impacts from either their proposed rise in national insurance, or the autumn fuel shortages. Scottish election polls and latest odds - who will win in 2021? Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "Do you agree that Scotland should become an independent country?" Polling for the Welsh parliament election is less extensive than what is available in Scotland. Although we'd had a YouGov earlier in February, that was for the Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) and YouGov have since clarified the questions were slightly different and thus not comparable. For Labour and the Lib Dems parties which also supported the legislation and oppose Westminsters intervention the figures are 13 per cent and 14 per cent respectively., The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 11 Feb 2023. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. The latest monthly polling averages on Scottish independence show No campaigners to have consolidated their lead in the polls once again. Poll suggests Conservatives could be in danger of losing more than a Since devolution, the annual Scottish Social Attitudes Survey has contained a question on independence. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" The government is becoming increasingly authoritarian and our media is run by a handful of billionaires, most of whom reside overseas and all of them have strong political allegiances and financial motivations. On 23 November 2022, the UK Supreme Court ruled that the Scottish Parliament does not have the power to unilaterally hold an independence referendum without the consent of the Westminster Parliament. The pollster found Labour on 50 per cent of the vote an increase of three points from their last poll. Scotlands Political Landscape After Nicola Sturgeon? Majority of people support NEU teacher strikes, YouGov poll finds Dorset Live 14:59 6-Feb-23. We will not share your email address with any third parties. A YouGov poll earlier this week gave Truss a 19-point advantage over Sunak in a head-to-head. In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote . YouGov found that voting intention in 53 such constituencies in the south and east of England currently held by the party stood at 44% for the Conservatives, 24% for Labour, 18% for the Liberal Democrats and 9% for the Greens. The use of this format has been criticised by pro-independence politicians. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. had started to nudge back up towards 40%. YouGov found . Click here to sign-in and subscribe via a link sent to your email. Pollster. A total of 21 per cent said they didnt know., UnHerd Britain 2023, published on 10 Feb 2023Full results, YouGov poll, reported in The Times on 05 Feb 2023. Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. The YouGov poll of voting intention conducted over Wednesday and Thursday showed 54% support for Labour and 21% for the Conservatives. Polling includes only those that explicitly ask how the responder would vote in a hypothetical referendum on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union, rather than repeating the remain/leave question of the 2016 referendum. If you can, please show your appreciation for our free content by donating whatever you think is fair to help keep TLE growing and support real, independent, investigative journalism. With plans for the establishment of a Scottish parliament in Holyrood by the Blair government in the late 1990s, support for Scottish independence rose once again. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techne (February 23) which placed the Yes side on 45.3% and the No side on 54.7%, post adjusting for undecided voters. This Conservative poll lead coincided with the unusual event of a governing party winning a seat from the Opposition, as occurred in the May 2021 Hartlepool by-election. Please ensure your password has at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. Id 100% bang this poll pic.twitter.com/zW5y7LzwXS. Poll: DeSantis surges to 5-point lead over weakened Trump in 2024 We will not share your email address with any third parties. Poll shows Scottish independence is not just a nationalist cause State of the Nation. What has happened to the once-great British Airways? British Social Attitudes Survey 39, reported in The Times, 22 Sep 2022Full results I Chapter on Culture WarsMain findings: YouGov, May 2022Full report I DataMain findings: Equalities, Human Rights and Civil Justice Committee, Scottish Parliament, reported 23 May 2022, Wings Over Scotland, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 02 May 2022: Voting for people who hate you. However, coinciding with the roll out of the coronavirus vaccine and the conclusion of Boris Johnsons Brexit deal at the end of 2020, the Conservative party once again opened up a significant election poll lead over Labour. The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Delta Poll (27 February) which placed Labour on 46%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrts on 8%. This once again reaffirms how sleaze and scandal remain the most potent political weapons in British politics, ones which can quickly and easily cut through to voters. Voting Intention: Con 21%, Lab 54% (28-29 Sep 2022) | YouGov The table also lists some events that may have impacted on polling returns, including the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, the Covid pandemic in Scotland and party leadership changes. The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. However, there was even worse news for the SNP in the other new poll released by Redfield and Wilton Strategies on Thursday night and conducted on November 2-3. US ; About ; For business ; . It's Andrew's Previews for. Rishi Sunak fails to win back Conservative support in Wales, poll Savanta (23 February) which placed Labour on 45%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9%. About; Social . It found 72% of voters - including 69% of those who voted Tory in 2019 -. When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead. Scottish independence poll shows support cooling as referendum draws Scotland SNP Referendum Poll Latest News: February 5, 2023 - Bloomberg Full question: Nicola Sturgeon says the SNP will fight the next General Election as a de facto referendum on independence. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon.. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions.Results of such polls are displayed in this list.
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